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Why the Rupee Is Falling: A Flow Problem Created at Home

The rupee’s decline is not coming from the usual sources that people point to — not from high inflation, not from oil shocks, and not from any sudden deterioration in growth. The currency is weakening because the economic mechanisms that used to stabilise India’s external position have stopped working. And the roots of the problem lie inside the domestic economy, not outside it.

Categories blog

The Hidden Trap in ETFs: Why You Must Check Before You Buy

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are widely seen as simple, low-cost tools to invest in broad markets. But sometimes, ETFs trade at prices that are significantly higher than the actual value of their underlying assets. This mismatch happens when demand for a particular ETF far exceeds the supply of units available in the market. When that occurs, the price you pay on the exchange may be far more than what the ETF is truly worth.

Categories blog

Arunasset’s Short-Term Call on Indian Markets Has a Name — Reflation

Arunasset’s 12-month view on Indian markets can be summed up in one word — Reflation. After two years of disinflation, tight liquidity and elevated real rates, the policy gears are finally shifting toward growth. The Reserve Bank of India’s 50-basis-point rate cut in June, its dovish tone on inflation, and expanding credit all signal a turn to a more supportive monetary environment. The government, meanwhile, continues to prioritise infrastructure spending, using healthy tax revenues to sustain capital outlays. Together, these moves mark the first coordinated reflationary turn since the 2014–17 recovery.

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