Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi earned a narrow victory in the election results declared last week, sparking a roller-coaster 48 hours for Indian equity markets.
India Election and Market Outlook
The world’s largest election commenced on April 19th and is scheduled to span six weeks, involving approximately 969 million voters and 2,600 political parties. This brief write-up delves into the consequent implications for markets and investments. The election period extends from April 19th to June 1st, with the final tallying of results on June 4th, followed by the inauguration of the new administration by mid-June.
Margin Improvements Drive India Inc’s Q3 Profits Amidst Revenue Deceleration
India Inc’s third-quarter profit growth remains robust, sustaining a double-digit trajectory, buoyed by stable input costs and reduced interest expenses for manufacturing firms. However, revenue expansion stayed below 10% for the third consecutive quarter.
Review of India Inc’s Q1 Results: Stronger Margins Mitigate Slower Revenue Growth
Corporate India is currently reaping the benefits of remarkably elevated margins and profits. The collective net profit for publicly listed companies achieved an unprecedented peak in the quarter spanning April to June 2023. This achievement can be attributed to a significant upswing in both operating and net profits due to a moderation in cost of raw materials. The expansion of profit margins has effectively counterbalanced the deceleration in revenue growth, which during the same time period, dipped into single-digit territory for the first time in nine quarters.
Result Season so Far: Profits Surge As Input Costs Fall
The corporate results of first quarter of FY24 so far (excluding financial services firms) have reflected a substantial surge in profits but a decline in net sales,. Out of the 635 non-financial companies that have reported their results, the combined sales have decreased by 2.82% to reach ₹13.91 lakh crore, according to data from the CMIE. Remarkably, even Reliance Industries, the country’s largest revenue-generating company, faced a 4.69% drop in revenues, totaling ₹2,31,132 crore, alongside a 10.8% decrease in net profit, amounting to ₹16,011 crore.